Consultation: SUDAN β SOUTH SUDANESE β Sudan
No next occurrence is being forecast right now β this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days β every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β its rhythm β not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether itβs on time. Itβs probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Weβre still building its track record β no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to β or β over time.
The events behind it
Consultation: SUDAN β SOUTH SUDANESE β Sudan
Consultation: SOUTH SUDANESE β SUDAN β Sudan
Consultation: SOUTH SUDANESE β Sudan
Consultation: SOUTH SUDANESE β Sudan
Consultation: DEPUTY β Sudan
Consultation: SUDAN β DEPUTY β Sudan
Consultation: SUDAN β DEPUTY β Sudan
Consultation: DEPUTY β SUDAN β Sudan
Consultation: DEPUTY β Sudan
Consultation: CIVILIAN β NEW YORK β Abyei, Janub Kurdufan, Sudan
Consultation: DARFUR β DISPLACED FAMILIES β Darfur, Gharb Darfur, Sudan
Consultation: DARFUR β DISPLACED FAMILIES β Abyei, Janub Kurdufan, Sudan
Consultation: DISPLACED FAMILIES β DARFUR β Darfur, Gharb Darfur, Sudan
Consultation: SUDAN β DOCTOR β Khartoum, Al Khartum, Sudan
Consultation: DOCTOR β ABDULLAH β Khartoum, Al Khartum, Sudan
Consultation: ABDULLAH β DOCTOR β Khartoum, Al Khartum, Sudan
Consultation: DOCTOR β SUDAN β Khartoum, Al Khartum, Sudan
Consultation: KENYA β SUDAN β Khartoum, Al Khartum, Sudan
Consultation: JUSTICE MINISTER β DOHA β Sudan
Consultation: DOHA β SUDAN β Sudan