Relations downgrade: CANBERRA – ISRAEL — Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 8 days (80% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Relations downgrade: JUDGE — Australia
Relations downgrade: AUSTRALIA – IRAN — Australia
Relations downgrade: CHINA — Australia
Relations downgrade: AUSTRALIA – UNITED ARAB EMIRATES — Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia
Relations downgrade: CANBERRA – UNITED ARAB EMIRATES — Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia
Relations downgrade: CANBERRA – ISRAEL — Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia
Relations downgrade: AUSTRALIA — Illawarra, Victoria, Australia
Relations downgrade: PARLIAMENT – GOVERNOR — Australia
Relations downgrade: PENNY WONG — Australia
Relations downgrade: AUSTRALIA – IRAN — Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
Relations downgrade: AUSTRALIA — Lucas Hill, South Australia, Australia
Relations downgrade: INDONESIA — Dubbo, New South Wales, Australia
Relations downgrade: AUSTRALIA — Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
Relations downgrade: AMNESTY INTERNATIONAL – ISRAEL — Bondi Beach, New South Wales, Australia
Relations downgrade: AMNESTY INTERNATIONAL – ISRAEL — Bondi Beach, New South Wales, Australia
Relations downgrade: AMNESTY INTERNATIONAL – ISRAEL — Bondi Beach, New South Wales, Australia
Relations downgrade: MELBOURNE — Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
Relations downgrade: AUSTRALIA — Illawarra, Victoria, Australia
Relations downgrade: NEWSPAPER – AUSTRALIA — Australia
Relations downgrade: AUSTRALIAN – IRAN — Ulladulla, New South Wales, Australia