Aid provision: GOVERNMENT – COMMUNITY — Wellington, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 7 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Aid provision: NEW ZEALAND – COMMUNITY — Waikato, Waikato, New Zealand
Aid provision: WAIKATO – COMMUNITY — Bay Of Plenty, Bay of Plenty, New Zealand
Aid provision: GOVERNMENT — New Zealand
Aid provision: GOVERNMENT – COMMUNITY — Rotorua, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Aid provision: GOVERNMENT – COMMUNITY — Wellington, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Aid provision: NEW ZEALAND – GOVERNMENT — New Zealand
Aid provision: MINIST OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS – NEW ZEALANDER — Taumarunui, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Aid provision: GOVERNMENT — Endeavour Inlet, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Aid provision: NEW ZEALAND – UN — Marlborough Sounds, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Aid provision: NEW ZEALAND — Endeavour Inlet, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Aid provision: NEW ZEALAND — Marlborough Sounds, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Aid provision: GOVERNMENT — Marlborough Sounds, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Aid provision: IMMIGRATION MINIST — New Zealand
Aid provision: IMMIGRATION MINIST – NEW ZEALAND — New Zealand
Aid provision: GOVERNMENT — Craigieburn Range, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Aid provision: GOVERNMENT – NEW ZEALAND — Craigieburn Range, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Aid provision: MICROSOFT — New Zealand
Aid provision: IRAQ – AFGHANISTAN — New Zealand
Aid provision: BUSINESS – AOTEAROA — Kaitaia, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Aid provision: COMMUNITY — Kaitaia, New Zealand (general), New Zealand