Aid provision: UNICEF – AFRICA — Bundibugyo, Bundibugyo, Uganda
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 5 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Aid provision: STUDENT — Makerere, Kampala, Uganda
Aid provision: UGANDA — Bundibugyo, Bundibugyo, Uganda
Aid provision: PENNSYLVANIA – CHRISTIAN — Bundibugyo, Bundibugyo, Uganda
Aid provision: WORKER — Uganda
Aid provision: AFRICA – COMPANY — Uganda
Aid provision: UNITED STATES – CHRISTIAN — Bundibugyo, Bundibugyo, Uganda
Aid provision: US OFFICIAL – UGANDA — Kahendero, Kasese, Uganda
Aid provision: DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF THE CONGO – UGANDA — Uganda
Aid provision: UNICEF – AFRICA — Bundibugyo, Bundibugyo, Uganda
Aid provision: MOZAMBIQUE – UGANDA — Uganda
Aid provision: NIGER – UGANDA — Uganda
Aid provision: NIGERIA – UGANDA — Uganda
Aid provision: UGANDA – UNITED STATES — Mbale, Mbale, Uganda
Aid provision: US OFFICIAL — Kahendero, Kasese, Uganda
Aid provision: US OFFICIAL – UGANDA — Kahendero, Kasese, Uganda
Aid provision: NIGER – UGANDA — Uganda
Aid provision: US OFFICIAL — Kahendero, Kasese, Uganda
Aid provision: MOZAMBIQUE – UGANDA — Uganda
Aid provision: NIGERIA – UGANDA — Uganda
Aid provision: HIGH COURT – UGANDA — Wakiso, Wakiso, Uganda