Demand: MACEDONIA β THE EU
No next occurrence is being forecast right now β this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 7 days (88% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β its rhythm β not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether itβs on time. Itβs probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Weβre still building its track record β no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to β or β over time.
Patterns that recur together
On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence β an observation, not causation.
- Consultation: CHANCELLOR β South Korea
- Public statement: PAKISTAN β Quetta, Balochistan, Pakistan
- Appeal: MINISTRY β QATAR β Pakistan
- Aid provision: ALBERTA β France
- Public statement: COLUMBUS β Russia
- Public statement: LAWYER β PUBLICATION β Ntungamo, Ntungamo, Uganda
- Rejection: NAGPUR β PAKISTAN β Ambani, Punjab, Pakistan
- Assault: MOSCOW β CIVILIAN β Moscow, Moskva, Russia
The events behind it
Demand: DETECTIVE β PROSECUTOR
Demand: MACEDONIA β THE EU
Demand: MACEDONIA β THE EU
Demand: EDUCATION MINIST β SCHOOL
Demand: UNITED ARAB EMIRATES β COMPANIES β Dubai, Dubayy, United Arab Emirates
Demand: CHIEF EXECUTIVE β COMPANIES β Dubai, Dubayy, United Arab Emirates
Demand: CHIEF EXECUTIVE β COMPANIES β Jebel Ali, Dubayy, United Arab Emirates
Demand: IRAN β COMPANIES β Dubai, Dubayy, United Arab Emirates
Demand: IRAN β COMPANIES β Jebel Ali, Dubayy, United Arab Emirates
Demand: JUDGE
Demand: BUSINESS
Demand: BUSINESS β POLICE
Demand: WEST BENGAL
Demand: CHIEF EXECUTIVE β COMPANIES β Jebel Ali, Dubayy, United Arab Emirates
Demand: VILLAGE
Demand: POLICE
Demand: ACTOR
Demand: JUDGE β MEDIA
Demand: RESIDENTS β GOVERNMENT
Demand: NEW DELHI β GOVERNMENT