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Police in Texas received a call at about 10 p.m. Tuesday reporting a plane crash on Loop 20 near the Texas-Mexico border. https://bit.ly/4vgsRTd

No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.

Why: it has occurred on 9 days (41% of the days we've watched), usually around 20:35 UTC.

Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.

How accurate have we been?

We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.

The events behind it

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