Coercion: CRIMINAL — London, London, City of, United Kingdom
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 10 days (83% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Coercion: AUTHORITIES – ASYLUM SEEKER — Upwey, Dorset, United Kingdom
Coercion: PRISON — Upwey, Dorset, United Kingdom
Coercion: PROSECUTOR – UNITED KINGDOM — London, London, City of, United Kingdom
Coercion: PROSECUTOR – UNITED KINGDOM — London, London, City of, United Kingdom
Coercion: UNITED KINGDOM — United Kingdom
Coercion: UNITED KINGDOM — Hertfordshire, Hertfordshire, United Kingdom
Coercion: DRUG DEALER — United Kingdom
Coercion: UKRAINIAN – UNITED KINGDOM — United Kingdom
Coercion: CAMBODIA – UNITED KINGDOM — London, London, City of, United Kingdom
Coercion: CAMBODIA – UNITED KINGDOM — London, London, City of, United Kingdom
Coercion: ATTORNEY GENERAL – UNITED KINGDOM — United Kingdom
Coercion: LONDON – GOVERNMENT — London, London, City of, United Kingdom
Coercion: TONY BLAIR – HAMAS — Northern Ireland, Craigavon, United Kingdom
Coercion: POLICE – UNITED KINGDOM — Putney, Wandsworth, United Kingdom
Coercion: TONY BLAIR – HAMAS — Northern Ireland, Craigavon, United Kingdom
Coercion: TONY BLAIR – HAMAS — Edinburgh, Edinburgh, City of, United Kingdom
Coercion: UNITED KINGDOM – PALESTINE — London, London, City of, United Kingdom
Coercion: UNITED KINGDOM — Lyme Regis, Dorset, United Kingdom
Coercion: POLICE – UNITED KINGDOM — London, London, City of, United Kingdom
Coercion: UNITED KINGDOM — Glasgow, Glasgow City, United Kingdom