Public statement: CRIMINAL β Canada
No next occurrence is being forecast right now β this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 10 days (77% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β its rhythm β not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether itβs on time. Itβs probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Weβre still building its track record β no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to β or β over time.
The events behind it
Public statement: MINIST OF EDUCATION β GHANA β Canada
Public statement: CANADA β UNITED KINGDOM β Canada
Public statement: MCGILL β CANADA β Canada
Public statement: UNITED STATES β CANADA β Canada
Public statement: CANADA β Quebec, Quebec, Canada
Public statement: CANADIAN β MARK CARNEY β Canada
Public statement: CANADA β Canada
Public statement: MARK CARNEY β CANADIAN β Canada
Public statement: CANADIAN β MARK CARNEY β Canada
Public statement: CANADA β MARK CARNEY β Canada
Public statement: CANADIAN β Canada
Public statement: CANADA β Quebec, Quebec, Canada
Public statement: STUDENT β CANADIAN β Toronto, Ontario, Canada
Public statement: CANADIAN β MARK CARNEY β Canada
Public statement: CANADIAN β Canada
Public statement: MARK CARNEY β CANADA β Canada
Public statement: CANADA β Canada
Public statement: CANADA β Grande Prairie, Alberta, Canada
Public statement: CANADA β Prince Edward Island, Prince Edward Island, Canada
Public statement: CRIMINAL β Kamloops, British Columbia, Canada