Great Sitkin Volcano: Watch (Orange)
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 4 days (24% of the days we've watched), usually around 22:02 UTC.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Pumice Rafts Encroach on Admiralty Islands On May 8, 2026, satellites detected signs of an unexpected submarine volcani…
Philippines volcanic eruption may have led to collapse of China’s Ming Dynasty: A new study published in the journal Cl…
Great Sitkin Volcano: Watch (Orange)
Kilauea Volcano: Advisory (Yellow)
Volcanic eruption 🔥💦
Philippines volcanic eruption may have led to collapse of China’s Ming Dynasty Eruptions can be ‘stress multipliers’ of…
[ESP] ¡Increíble evento de la bóveda OG! Espada del infinito votada, el punto cero, la mesa de Singularidad y la erupci…
[ESP] ¡Increíble evento de la bóveda OG! Espada del infinito votada, el punto cero, la mesa de Singularidad y la erupci…
[ESP] ¡Increíble evento de la bóveda OG! Espada del infinito votada, el punto cero, la mesa de Singularidad y la erupci…
On this date in Weather History... The largest volcanic eruption of the 20th Century began as Mt. Pinatubo injected deb…
I hope the entire consultant class is consumed by volcanic eruption
15 June 1991 (35 years ago): In the Philippines, Mount Pinatubo erupts in the second largest volcanic eruption of the 2…
June 15th, 1991: The second-largest volcanic eruption of the 20th Century began as Mt. Pinatubo injected over fifteen m…
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new photos of volcanoes from space are giving me chills - check out the ISS astronaut's pics and see what it's like to…
June 15, 1991 – In the Philippines, Mount Pinatubo erupts in the second largest volcanic eruption of the 20th century,…
𝗫-𝗙𝗢𝗥𝗖𝗘 ＃𝟮𝟲 | 𝗙𝗲𝗯 '𝟮𝟮 ERUPTION! DOMINO, KID OMEGA and WOLVERINE head back into the thresher to recover the…
Pumice Rafts Encroach on Admiralty Islands https://www.ufofeed.com/260203/pumice-rafts-encroach-on-admiralty-islands/ O…
Looks like a volcanic eruption.
35 years ago Today, the Pinatubo generated the second-largest volcanic eruption of the 20th century, and by far the lar…