Armed clash: UNITED STATES — New York, United States
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 9 days (82% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Armed clash: KILLERS — United States
Armed clash: VLADIMIR PUTIN – UKRAINIAN — White House, District of Columbia, United States
Armed clash: MILITARY — Washington, District of Columbia, United States
Armed clash: NURSE – UNITED STATES — Iowa, United States
Armed clash: NURSE — Iowa, United States
Armed clash: UNITED STATES — South Carolina, United States
Armed clash: CHINA — White House, District of Columbia, United States
Armed clash: AUSTIN — Georgia, United States
Armed clash: AUSTIN — Georgia, United States
Armed clash: UNITED STATES — Texas, United States
Armed clash: AUSTIN — Georgia, United States
Armed clash: ILLINOIS — Williamson County, Illinois, United States
Armed clash: UNITED STATES — Boston University, Massachusetts, United States
Armed clash: UNITED STATES – SENATE — Texas, United States
Armed clash: UNITED STATES – SENATE — Texas, United States
Armed clash: UNITED STATES — Greenwich Village, New York, United States
Armed clash: ISRAEL – TEHRAN — Washington, District of Columbia, United States
Armed clash: UNITED STATES – IRAN — Washington, District of Columbia, United States
Armed clash: DOCTOR – OHIO — Ohio, United States
Armed clash: PREMIER — Massachusetts, United States