Concession: AUSTRALIA — Mount Canobolas, New South Wales, Australia
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
Patterns that recur together
On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence — an observation, not causation.
- At 12:38 PM CDT, 3 NE Muscatine [Muscatine Co, IA] Trained Spotter reports Flash Flood. Mad Creek out of banks near Hwy 38 to Lake Park Blvd, and approaching bridge level at 5th St, 2nd St, and Colora
- Appeal: MINISTRY — Dhaka, Dhaka, Bangladesh
- Concession: FARMER – CHINA — Pakistan
- Public statement: POLICE – BRAZIL — Brasilia, Distrito Federal, Brazil
- Armed clash: ISRAEL – WEST BANK — Jenin, West Bank (general), West Bank
- Consultation: EUROPE – BRATISLAVA — Bratislava, Bratislavsky Kraj, Slovak Republic
- Diplomatic cooperation: RIYADH – LEBANESE — Riyadh, Ar Riya?, Saudi Arabia
- Public statement: COLOMBO – ITALY — Rome, Lazio, Italy
The events behind it
Concession: MAGISTRATE — Dandenong, Victoria, Australia
Concession: AUSTRALIA — Dandenong, Victoria, Australia
Concession: AUSTRALIAN – POPULATION — Australia
Concession: CANADIAN — Australia
Concession: PRESIDENT – AUSTRALIA — Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
Concession: PRESIDENT — Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
Concession: WORKER – GOVERNANCE — Australia
Concession: GOVERNANCE – WORKER — Australia
Concession: POLICE — Adelaide, South Australia, Australia
Concession: AUSTRALIA — Brookvale, New South Wales, Australia
Concession: AUSTRALIA — Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
Concession: NEW SOUTH WALES – LAWYER — Australia
Concession: AUSTRALIA — Brookvale, New South Wales, Australia
Concession: AUSTRALIA — Mount Canobolas, New South Wales, Australia
Concession: HOSPITAL — Inverness, New South Wales, Australia
Concession: HOSPITAL — North Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
Concession: AUSTRALIAN – AUSTRALIA — Perth, Western Australia, Australia
Concession: AUSTRALIAN — Perth, Western Australia, Australia
Concession: AUSTRALIA — Australia
Concession: FEDERAL COURT – INVESTOR — Australia