Public statement: PRESIDENT β Belarus
No next occurrence is being forecast right now β this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 4 days (80% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β its rhythm β not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether itβs on time. Itβs probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Weβre still building its track record β no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to β or β over time.
The events behind it
Public statement: PROSECUTOR β Belarus
Public statement: BELARUS β PROSECUTOR β Belarus
Public statement: BELARUS β JOURNALIST β Belarus
Public statement: RUSSIA β BELARUSIAN β Belarus
Public statement: PRESIDENT β Belarus
Public statement: MINIST β BELARUSIAN β Belarus
Public statement: RUSSIA β BELARUS β Minsk, Belarus (general), Belarus
Public statement: BELARUS β Minsk, Belarus (general), Belarus
Public statement: BELARUS β UKRAINE β Minsk, Belarus (general), Belarus
Public statement: RUSSIA β BELARUS β Minsk, Belarus (general), Belarus
Public statement: UKRAINIAN β BELARUS β Minsk, Belarus (general), Belarus
Public statement: EDUCATION MINIST β Belarus
Public statement: BELARUS β EDUCATION MINIST β Belarus
Public statement: BELARUS β Belarus
Public statement: BELARUSIAN β MILITARY β Belarus
Public statement: BELARUS β UNITED STATES β Belarus
Public statement: BELARUSIAN β BELARUS β Belarus
Public statement: BELARUS β UKRAINE β Minsk, Belarus (general), Belarus
Public statement: UKRAINIAN β BELARUS β Minsk, Belarus (general), Belarus
Public statement: BELARUS β FIRST LADY β Minsk, Belarus (general), Belarus