AAL462: New York (LGA) → Chicago (ORD)

No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.

Why: it has occurred on 5 days — every day we've been watching, usually around 19:44 UTC.

Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.

How accurate have we been?

We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.

The events behind it

AAL462: New York (LGA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%New York (LGA)·2026-06-17 10:32 UTC
UAL2183: New York (LGA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%New York (LGA)·2026-06-17 03:01 UTC
UAL2275: New York (LGA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%New York (LGA)·2026-06-17 02:25 UTC
DAL2806: New York (LGA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%New York (LGA)·2026-06-17 00:59 UTC
AAL2057: New York (LGA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%New York (LGA)·2026-06-17 00:36 UTC
UAL2780: New York (LGA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%New York (LGA)·2026-06-17 00:22 UTC
AAL1773: New York (LGA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%New York (LGA)·2026-06-16 23:56 UTC
DAL2513: New York (LGA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%New York (LGA)·2026-06-16 23:41 UTC
AAL1478: New York (LGA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%New York (LGA)·2026-06-16 22:57 UTC
UAL2299: New York (LGA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%New York (LGA)·2026-06-16 22:51 UTC
DAL2503: New York (LGA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%New York (LGA)·2026-06-16 21:36 UTC
AAL2323: New York (LGA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%New York (LGA)·2026-06-16 21:15 UTC
DAL1390: New York (LGA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%New York (LGA)·2026-06-16 20:53 UTC
UAL1156: New York (LGA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%New York (LGA)·2026-06-16 20:41 UTC
AAL396: New York (LGA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%New York (LGA)·2026-06-16 20:31 UTC
UAL1504: New York (LGA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%New York (LGA)·2026-06-16 19:38 UTC
DAL2226: New York (LGA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%New York (LGA)·2026-06-16 19:25 UTC
UAL2199: New York (LGA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%New York (LGA)·2026-06-16 18:55 UTC
AAL1705: New York (LGA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%New York (LGA)·2026-06-16 18:24 UTC
UAL2654: New York (LGA) → Chicago (ORD)
Transport✓ verified · 90%New York (LGA)·2026-06-16 17:56 UTC

← Back to the live map

✈️ AAL462: New York (LGA) → Chicago (ORD)

How accurate have we been?

The events behind it

AAL462: New York (LGA) → Chicago (ORD)