Coercion: THE HAGUE – PRISON — Salamiyah, Al Ladhiqiyah, Syria
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 4 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Coercion: SYRIAN – SYRIA — Idlib, Idlib, Syria
Coercion: SYRIA — Idlib, Idlib, Syria
Coercion: AUSTRALIA – SYRIA — Damascus, Dimashq, Syria
Coercion: PRISON – SYRIA — Damascus, Dimashq, Syria
Coercion: PRISON – SYRIAN — Idlib, Idlib, Syria
Coercion: NETHERLANDS — Salamiyah, Al Ladhiqiyah, Syria
Coercion: DUTCH COURT — Salamiyah, Al Ladhiqiyah, Syria
Coercion: SYRIA – AUSTRALIA — Damascus, Dimashq, Syria
Coercion: SYRIAN – SYRIA — Idlib, Idlib, Syria
Coercion: LAWYER – SYRIAN — Syria
Coercion: AUSTRALIA – SYRIA — Syria
Coercion: AUSTRALIA – SYRIA — Syria
Coercion: AUSTRALIA – SYRIA — Syria
Coercion: THE HAGUE – MILITIA — Salamiyah, Al Ladhiqiyah, Syria
Coercion: SYRIA — Raqqa, Ar Raqqah, Syria
Coercion: SYRIA — Damascus, Dimashq, Syria
Coercion: FRANCE – SYRIAN — Damascus, Dimashq, Syria
Coercion: NETHERLANDS – SYRIA — Damascus, Dimashq, Syria
Coercion: DUTCH COURT – SYRIAN — Damascus, Dimashq, Syria
Coercion: SYRIAN – PRISON — Damascus, Dimashq, Syria