Coercion: POLICE – NEPAL — Kathmandu, Bagmati, Nepal
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 5 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Coercion: KATHMANDU – INTERPOL — Kathmandu, Bagmati, Nepal
Coercion: KATHMANDU – INTERPOL — Kathmandu, Bagmati, Nepal
Coercion: POLICE – NEPAL — Kathmandu, Bagmati, Nepal
Coercion: SETTLEMENT – NEPAL — Kathmandu, Bagmati, Nepal
Coercion: AUTHORITIES – KATHMANDU — Kathmandu, Bagmati, Nepal
Coercion: POLICE – NEPAL — Dhanusha, Nepal (general), Nepal
Coercion: POLICE – KATHMANDU — Dhanusha, Nepal (general), Nepal
Coercion: NEPAL — Kathmandu, Bagmati, Nepal
Coercion: NEPAL – PRINCE — Biratnagar, Nepal (general), Nepal
Coercion: NEPAL – PRINCE — Biratnagar, Nepal (general), Nepal
Coercion: NEPAL — Kathmandu, Bagmati, Nepal
Coercion: POLICE — Kathmandu, Bagmati, Nepal
Coercion: JAMALPUR – NEPAL — Nepal
Coercion: UNIVERSITY – NEPAL — Kathmandu, Bagmati, Nepal
Coercion: UNIVERSITY – NEPAL — Kathmandu, Bagmati, Nepal
Coercion: BUSINESS — Jawalakhel, Nepal (general), Nepal
Coercion: BUSINESS – NEPAL — Kathmandu, Bagmati, Nepal
Coercion: POLICE – NEPAL — Lumbini, Nepal (general), Nepal
Coercion: ITALY – VILLAGE — Kathmandu, Bagmati, Nepal
Coercion: ITALY – ACHHAM — Achham, Nepal (general), Nepal