Aid provision: TEHRAN — Beirut, Beyrouth, Lebanon
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 4 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Aid provision: A US – IRAN — Lebanon
Aid provision: SYRIA – IRAN — Lebanon
Aid provision: IRAN — Beirut, Beyrouth, Lebanon
Aid provision: IRAN — Beirut, Beyrouth, Lebanon
Aid provision: IRAN – HAMAS — Lebanon
Aid provision: IRAN — Beirut, Beyrouth, Lebanon
Aid provision: IRAN — Beirut, Beyrouth, Lebanon
Aid provision: IRAN — Beirut, Beyrouth, Lebanon
Aid provision: CHRISTIAN – CIVILIAN — Beqaa, Béa, Lebanon
Aid provision: SUNNI – CIVILIAN — Beqaa, Béa, Lebanon
Aid provision: THE SECURITY COUNCIL – LEBANON — Beirut, Beyrouth, Lebanon
Aid provision: LEBANON — Beirut, Beyrouth, Lebanon
Aid provision: CHRISTIAN – CIVILIAN — Beqaa, Béa, Lebanon
Aid provision: ISRAEL – IRAN — Beirut, Beyrouth, Lebanon
Aid provision: SYDNEY – INDUSTRY — Lebanon
Aid provision: AUSTRALIA — Lebanon
Aid provision: GAZA – ISRAEL — Lebanon
Aid provision: UNITED STATES — Beirut, Beyrouth, Lebanon
Aid provision: UNITED STATES – IRAN — Lebanon
Aid provision: UNITED STATES – IRAN — Lebanon