Armed clash: ARNO — Mozambique
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Armed clash: MOZAMBIQUE — Maputo, Maputo, Mozambique
Armed clash: MOZAMBIQUE — Chimoio, Manica, Mozambique
Armed clash: ARNO — Mozambique
Armed clash: GERMANY — Mozambique
Armed clash: FOREIGN NATIONAL — Mozambique
Armed clash: NIGERIAN – CITIZEN — Mozambique
Armed clash: MOZAMBIQUE — Maputo, Maputo, Mozambique
Armed clash: MOZAMBICAN — Mozambique
Armed clash: MOZAMBIQUE — Quelimane, Zambéa, Mozambique
Armed clash: SETTLEMENT – SOUTH AFRICAN — Mozambique
Armed clash: SETTLEMENT – MOZAMBICAN — Mozambique
Armed clash: SETTLEMENT – AFRICA — Mozambique
Armed clash: AFRICA – MOZAMBIQUE — Mozambique
Armed clash: AFRICA – MOZAMBIQUE — Mozambique
Armed clash: MOZAMBICAN — Mozambique
Armed clash: SOUTH AFRICAN – AFRICA — Mozambique
Armed clash: NATIONALS — Mozambique
Armed clash: AFRICA – NATIONALS — Mozambique
Armed clash: MOZAMBICAN – NATIONALS — Mozambique
Armed clash: MILITANT — Cabo Delgado, Cabo Delgado, Mozambique