Mass violence: GAZA β ISRAEL β Gaza, Israel (general), Israel
No next occurrence is being forecast right now β this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 4 days β every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β its rhythm β not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether itβs on time. Itβs probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Weβre still building its track record β no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to β or β over time.
The events behind it
Mass violence: ISRAEL β Hebron, Israel (general), Israel
Mass violence: PALESTINIAN β ISRAEL β Jordan Valley, Israel (general), Israel
Mass violence: SETTLER β ISRAEL β Jordan Valley, Israel (general), Israel
Mass violence: ISRAEL β PALESTINIAN β Hebron, Israel (general), Israel
Mass violence: ISRAEL β WEST BANK β Jordan Valley, Israel (general), Israel
Mass violence: ISRAEL β PALESTINIAN β Jordan Valley, Israel (general), Israel
Mass violence: ISRAEL β PALESTINIAN β Gaza, Israel (general), Israel
Mass violence: ISRAEL β HAMAS β Israel
Mass violence: ISRAEL β HAMAS β Israel
Mass violence: ISRAEL β GOVERNMENT β Gaza, Israel (general), Israel
Mass violence: GAZA β GOVERNMENT β Gaza, Israel (general), Israel
Mass violence: GAZA β ISRAEL β Gaza, Israel (general), Israel
Mass violence: ISRAEL β Gaza, Israel (general), Israel
Mass violence: ISRAEL β GAZA β Gaza, Israel (general), Israel
Mass violence: ADVOCATE β WEST BANK β Gaza, Israel (general), Israel
Mass violence: ADVOCATE β WEST BANK β Gaza, Israel (general), Israel
Mass violence: ISRAEL β GAZA β Gaza, Israel (general), Israel
Mass violence: ISRAEL β PALESTINE β Israel
Mass violence: ISRAEL β WEST BANK β Gaza, Israel (general), Israel
Mass violence: LEBANON β ISRAEL β Gaza, Israel (general), Israel