Protest: CHINA — Hondius, Nei Mongol, China
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 5 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Protest: PHILIPPINE – CHINA — Beijing, Beijing, China
Protest: CHINA – DEPARTMENT OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS — Beijing, Beijing, China
Protest: PROFESSOR – CHINA — Tibet, Xizang, China
Protest: PROFESSOR — Tibet, Xizang, China
Protest: NEW YORK — Fujian, Fujian, China
Protest: GENEVA — Tibet, Xizang, China
Protest: CHINA — China
Protest: FRANCE – BELGIUM — China
Protest: MEMPHIS – VIETNAM — China
Protest: ADVOCATE – CHINA — Beihai, Guangxi, China
Protest: CHINA — Hondius, Nei Mongol, China
Protest: CHINA – LIBERATION ARMY — Honghai Bay, Guangdong, China
Protest: STAFF MEMBER – COMPANY — Beijing, Beijing, China
Protest: IRAN – PAKISTAN — China
Protest: POLICE — China
Protest: POLICE — China
Protest: CHINA — China
Protest: SHENZHEN — Shenzhen, Guangdong, China
Protest: PROTESTER – CALGARY — China
Protest: COMPANIES — China