Intent to cooperate: KABUL – RESEARCH INSTITUTION — Kabul, Kabol, Afghanistan
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 5 days (50% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Intent to cooperate: GERMANY – TALIBAN — Kabul, Kabol, Afghanistan
Intent to cooperate: NAVY – AFGHANISTAN — Kapisa, Kapisa, Afghanistan
Intent to cooperate: NAVY – DEFENSE DEPARTMENT — Kapisa, Kapisa, Afghanistan
Intent to cooperate: AFGHANISTAN – NAVY — Kapisa, Kapisa, Afghanistan
Intent to cooperate: AFGHANISTAN — Afghanistan
Intent to cooperate: DEFENSE DEPARTMENT – NAVY — Kapisa, Kapisa, Afghanistan
Intent to cooperate: AFGHANISTAN — Afghanistan
Intent to cooperate: MINISTRY – AFGHANISTAN — Kabul, Kabol, Afghanistan
Intent to cooperate: MINIST OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS – AFGHANISTAN — Kabul, Kabol, Afghanistan
Intent to cooperate: MINIST OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS – AFGHANISTAN — Kabul, Kabol, Afghanistan
Intent to cooperate: AFGHANISTAN – MINIST OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS — Kabul, Kabol, Afghanistan
Intent to cooperate: AFGHANISTAN – GOVERNMENT — Kabul, Kabol, Afghanistan
Intent to cooperate: TALIBAN – GOVERNMENT — Khorasan, Helmand, Afghanistan
Intent to cooperate: AFGHAN — Afghanistan
Intent to cooperate: CAREGIVER — Afghanistan
Intent to cooperate: CAREGIVER — Afghanistan
Intent to cooperate: KABUL – AFGHAN — Kabul, Kabol, Afghanistan
Intent to cooperate: AFGHAN – KABUL — Kabul, Kabol, Afghanistan
Intent to cooperate: AFGHANISTAN – UN — Yakawlang, Bamian, Afghanistan
Intent to cooperate: UN – AFGHANISTAN — Bamyan, Bamian, Afghanistan