Armed clash: MADEIRA – COMMANDER — New Brighton, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 7 days (78% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Armed clash: NEW ZEALAND – COMMUNITY — New Zealand
Armed clash: AUCKLAND – NEW ZEALAND — Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand
Armed clash: AUCKLAND — Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand
Armed clash: NEW ZEALAND — Fiordland, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Armed clash: AEROSPACE — New Zealand
Armed clash: CONSTABLE — Wellington, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Armed clash: POLICE — New Brighton, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Armed clash: POLICE — Wellington, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Armed clash: CONSTABLE – NEW ZEALAND — Wellington, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Armed clash: NEW ZEALAND — Wellington, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Armed clash: NEW ZEALAND – COMMANDER — New Brighton, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Armed clash: MADEIRA – COMMANDER — New Brighton, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Armed clash: WELLINGTON — Wellington, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Armed clash: WELLINGTON — Wellington, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Armed clash: POLICE — Wellington, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Armed clash: MADEIRA – COMMANDER — New Brighton, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Armed clash: NEW ZEALAND – COMMANDER — New Brighton, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Armed clash: NEW ZEALAND — Wellington, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Armed clash: KIWI — Hawke Bay, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Armed clash: AUCKLAND — Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand