Public statement: PRESIDENT – CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC — Bangui, Bangui, Central African Republic
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 4 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Public statement: LAWYER – GUINEA BISSAU — Bangui, Bangui, Central African Republic
Public statement: LAWYER — Bangui, Bangui, Central African Republic
Public statement: LAWYER – CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC — Bangui, Bangui, Central African Republic
Public statement: CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC – THE ASSOCIATED PRESS — Bangui, Bangui, Central African Republic
Public statement: RULING PARTY – GOVERNMENT — Mangue, Ké, Central African Republic
Public statement: RULING PARTY – GOVERNMENT — Mangue, Ké, Central African Republic
Public statement: GOVERNMENT — Bangui, Bangui, Central African Republic
Public statement: MILITARY — Bangui, Bangui, Central African Republic
Public statement: MILITARY OFFICIAL – OFFICIAL SOURCE — Bangui, Bangui, Central African Republic
Public statement: CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC — Bangui, Bangui, Central African Republic
Public statement: PRESIDENT – CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC — Bangui, Bangui, Central African Republic
Public statement: LONDON – SUDAN — Central African Republic
Public statement: PRESIDENT – CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC — Bangui, Bangui, Central African Republic
Public statement: IRANIAN – UNITED STATES — Bangui, Bangui, Central African Republic
Public statement: UNITED STATES – ACTIVIST — Bangui, Bangui, Central African Republic
Public statement: CIVIL SOCIETY — Bangui, Bangui, Central African Republic
Public statement: DAKAR – ACTIVIST — Bangui, Bangui, Central African Republic
Public statement: MIGRANT — Bangui, Bangui, Central African Republic
Public statement: CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC — Bangui, Bangui, Central African Republic
Public statement: REUTERS – DAKAR — Bangui, Bangui, Central African Republic