Disapproval: KENYA β BUSINESS β Kenya
No next occurrence is being forecast right now β this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 7 days (78% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β its rhythm β not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether itβs on time. Itβs probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Weβre still building its track record β no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to β or β over time.
The events behind it
Disapproval: CABINET β Kenya
Disapproval: KENYA β BUSINESS β Kenya
Disapproval: KENYA β Nairobi, Nairobi Area, Kenya
Disapproval: PRESIDENT β KENYA β Nairobi, Nairobi Area, Kenya
Disapproval: PRESIDENT β Nairobi, Nairobi Area, Kenya
Disapproval: MEDIA β Nairobi, Nairobi Area, Kenya
Disapproval: LEGISLATOR β Kenya
Disapproval: POLICE β Kilimani, Coast, Kenya
Disapproval: KILIFI β POLICE OFFICER β Malindi, Coast, Kenya
Disapproval: KILIFI β POLICE OFFICER β Kilifi, Coast, Kenya
Disapproval: KENYA β Nairobi, Nairobi Area, Kenya
Disapproval: KENYA β Nairobi, Nairobi Area, Kenya
Disapproval: KENYA β Kenya
Disapproval: KENYA β PRESIDENT β Kenya
Disapproval: KENYA β Kenya
Disapproval: KENYAN β NAIROBI β Nairobi National Park, Nairobi Area, Kenya
Disapproval: KENYAN β AFRICA β Nairobi National Park, Nairobi Area, Kenya
Disapproval: MEDIA β Kenya
Disapproval: LAWMAKER β Kisumu, Nyanza, Kenya
Disapproval: CABINET β KENYA β Nairobi, Nairobi Area, Kenya