Coercion: ROBERT KOCHARYAN – ARMENIA — Tavush, Azerbaijan (general), Azerbaijan
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Coercion: BAKU – SCHOOL — Baku, Baki*, Azerbaijan
Coercion: AUTHORITIES – AZERBAIJAN — Baku, Baki*, Azerbaijan
Coercion: HUMAN RIGHTS ORGANIZATION – BAKU — Baku, Baki*, Azerbaijan
Coercion: BAKU — Baku, Baki*, Azerbaijan
Coercion: ROBERT KOCHARYAN – ARMENIA — Tavush, Azerbaijan (general), Azerbaijan
Coercion: AZERBAIJANI — Baku, Baki*, Azerbaijan
Coercion: UNIVERSITY – AZERBAIJAN — Baku, Baki*, Azerbaijan
Coercion: PRISON — Baku, Baki*, Azerbaijan
Coercion: PRISON – AZERBAIJAN — Baku, Baki*, Azerbaijan
Coercion: DISTRICT COURT – AZERBAIJAN — Baku, Baki*, Azerbaijan
Coercion: DISTRICT COURT – CRIMINAL — Baku, Baki*, Azerbaijan
Coercion: AZERBAIJAN — Baku, Baki*, Azerbaijan
Coercion: PRESIDENT — Baku, Baki*, Azerbaijan
Coercion: DEPUTY — Artsakh, Azerbaijan (general), Azerbaijan
Coercion: BAKU – PRISON — Baku, Baki*, Azerbaijan
Coercion: AZERBAIJAN – DEPUTY — Baku, Baki*, Azerbaijan
Coercion: AZERBAIJAN – DEPUTY — Artsakh, Azerbaijan (general), Azerbaijan
Coercion: AZERBAIJAN — Baku, Baki*, Azerbaijan
Coercion: AZERBAIJAN – PRISON — Artsakh, Azerbaijan (general), Azerbaijan
Coercion: PRISON — Artsakh, Azerbaijan (general), Azerbaijan