Public statement: ASSAILANT – PUBLICATION
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 11 days (85% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Public statement: WALES
Public statement: POLICE – MEDIA
Public statement: CHARLOTTE – WORKER
Public statement: MALAYSIA
Public statement: IRELAND
Public statement: DEPUTY – EDUCATIONAL INSTITUTION
Public statement: VILLAGE – SCHOOL
Public statement: SOROPTIMIST INTERNATIONAL – MERCHANT
Public statement: PRIME MINISTER — Bismarck Sea, Oceans (general), Oceans
Public statement: WELSH – CARDIFF
Public statement: THE OPPOSITION – MEDIA
Public statement: LAWYER – CABINET
Public statement: BANK
Public statement: PRODUCER – MALAYALAM
Public statement: GOOGLE – COMMUNITY
Public statement: MEDIA – GOOGLE
Public statement: NELSON MANDELA
Public statement: GOOGLE – COMMUNITY
Public statement: GANG – OPERATIVE
Public statement: COMPANY – MICROSOFT