Coercion: SETTLER — Porvenir, Nuevo LeóX, Mexico
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 7 days (78% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Coercion: MEXICO – UNITED STATES — Mexico
Coercion: TERRORIST ORGANIZATION — Mexico
Coercion: MEXICO — Mexico
Coercion: ADMINISTRATION – MEXICAN — Mexico
Coercion: SETTLER — Porvenir, Nuevo LeóX, Mexico
Coercion: SETTLER — Porvenir, Nuevo LeóX, Mexico
Coercion: MEXICO – UNITED STATES — Mexico
Coercion: UNITED STATES – MEXICO — Mexico
Coercion: MEXICAN – MEXICO — Mexico
Coercion: MEXICO — Mexico
Coercion: MEXICAN – GUADALAJARA — Guadalajara, Jalisco, Mexico
Coercion: MEXICO — Mexico
Coercion: PROSECUTOR – PRISON — Chiapas, Chiapas, Mexico
Coercion: AUTHORITIES – MEXICO — Mexico
Coercion: BURMESE — Tijuana, Baja California, Mexico
Coercion: UNITED STATES – BURMA — Valle De Guadalupe, Jalisco, Mexico
Coercion: BURMESE — Tijuana, Baja California, Mexico
Coercion: SETTLER — Porvenir, Nuevo LeóX, Mexico
Coercion: UNITED STATES – MEXICO — Mexico
Coercion: SETTLER — Porvenir, Nuevo LeóX, Mexico