Assault: GANG — Venezuela
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 3 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Assault: REBEL — Venezuela
Assault: TERRORIST LEADER – UNITED STATES — Caracas, Distrito Federal, Venezuela
Assault: POLICE – BUSINESS — Venezuela
Assault: POLICE – VENEZUELAN — Caroni, Barinas, Venezuela
Assault: VENEZUELAN — Caroni, Barinas, Venezuela
Assault: TERRORIST LEADER – UNITED STATES — Caracas, Distrito Federal, Venezuela
Assault: VENEZUELA — Caracas, Distrito Federal, Venezuela
Assault: PROSECUTOR – VENEZUELA — Valencia, Carabobo, Venezuela
Assault: PROSECUTOR — Valencia, Carabobo, Venezuela
Assault: SEVILLA – PRISON — Valencia, Carabobo, Venezuela
Assault: VENEZUELA – VENEZUELAN — Venezuela
Assault: VENEZUELA – VENEZUELAN — Venezuela
Assault: MEDIA – UNITED STATES — Caracas, Distrito Federal, Venezuela
Assault: GANG — Venezuela
Assault: TERRORIST LEADER – UNITED STATES — Venezuela
Assault: HEALTH FACILITY — Caroni, Barinas, Venezuela
Assault: VENEZUELA — Caracas, Distrito Federal, Venezuela
Assault: TRINIDAD – VENEZUELA — Caracas, Distrito Federal, Venezuela
Assault: CARACAS – VENEZUELAN — Caracas, Distrito Federal, Venezuela
Assault: CARACAS – VENEZUELA — Caracas, Distrito Federal, Venezuela