Disapproval: BELARUSIAN — Poland
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Disapproval: CHINA – UNITED KINGDOM — Poland
Disapproval: BELARUSIAN — Poland
Disapproval: CHINA – RUSSIA — Poland
Disapproval: POLISH – MOSCOW — Warsaw, (PL67), Poland
Disapproval: POLAND – RUSSIA — Warsaw, (PL67), Poland
Disapproval: AUTHORITIES — Biala Podlaska, Lubelskie, Poland
Disapproval: POLAND — Warsaw, (PL67), Poland
Disapproval: SUPREME COURT – POLICE — Poland
Disapproval: POLAND – RUSSIAN FEDERATION — Biala Podlaska, Lubelskie, Poland
Disapproval: POLAND – UKRAINIAN — Biala Podlaska, Lubelskie, Poland
Disapproval: RUSSIA – VLADIMIR PUTIN — Biala Podlaska, Lubelskie, Poland
Disapproval: PRISONER – THE UN — Poland
Disapproval: POLAND – UKRAINIAN — Warsaw, (PL67), Poland
Disapproval: POLAND – UKRAINIAN — Biala Podlaska, Lubelskie, Poland
Disapproval: UNITED KINGDOM — Poland
Disapproval: POLISH – POLAND — Wladyslaw, Malopolskie, Poland
Disapproval: POLISH – PRESIDENT — Wladyslaw, Malopolskie, Poland
Disapproval: WASHINGTON – MINIST — Wladyslaw, Malopolskie, Poland
Disapproval: PROSECUTOR – RUSSIA — Poland
Disapproval: POLAND – UKRAINIAN — Poland