Protest: PRIME MINISTER β Sazan, Orenburgskaya Oblast', Russia
No next occurrence is being forecast right now β this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 5 days β every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β its rhythm β not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether itβs on time. Itβs probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Weβre still building its track record β no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to β or β over time.
The events behind it
Protest: ALBANIAN β ALBANIA β Sazan, Orenburgskaya Oblast', Russia
Protest: UNITED STATES β WALL STREET JOURNAL β Russia
Protest: MEDIA β RUSSIA β Russia
Protest: RUSSIA β PRIME MINISTER β Sazan, Orenburgskaya Oblast', Russia
Protest: RUSSIA β Sazan, Orenburgskaya Oblast', Russia
Protest: PRIME MINISTER β Sazan, Orenburgskaya Oblast', Russia
Protest: MEDIA β RUSSIA β Russia
Protest: PRIME MINISTER β Sazan, Orenburgskaya Oblast', Russia
Protest: RUSSIA β PRIME MINISTER β Sazan, Orenburgskaya Oblast', Russia
Protest: RUSSIA β Sazan, Orenburgskaya Oblast', Russia
Protest: RUSSIA β MAYOR β Moscow, Moskva, Russia
Protest: RESIDENTS β MAYOR β Moscow, Moskva, Russia
Protest: RUSSIA β BERLIN β Kremlin, Moskva, Russia
Protest: RUSSIA β BERLIN β Pozdnyakov, Rostovskaya Oblast', Russia
Protest: RUSSIA β EMBASSY β Kremlin, Moskva, Russia
Protest: EMBASSY β Kremlin, Moskva, Russia
Protest: PROTESTER β Petersburg, Sankt-Peterburg, Russia
Protest: PROTESTER β UNITED STATES β Petersburg, Sankt-Peterburg, Russia
Protest: PROTESTER β UNITED STATES β Petersburg, Sankt-Peterburg, Russia
Protest: ASEAN β RUSSIA β Tatarstan, Tatarstan, Russia