Coercion: PRESIDENT β ROBERT KOCHARYAN β Yerevan, Yerevan*, Armenia
No next occurrence is being forecast right now β this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days (67% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β its rhythm β not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether itβs on time. Itβs probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Weβre still building its track record β no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to β or β over time.
The events behind it
Coercion: EUROPEAN β YEREVAN β Yerevan, Yerevan*, Armenia
Coercion: YEREVAN β Yerevan, Yerevan*, Armenia
Coercion: ARMENIA β Yerevan, Yerevan*, Armenia
Coercion: ARMENIA β Yerevan, Yerevan*, Armenia
Coercion: PRESIDENT β Yerevan, Yerevan*, Armenia
Coercion: LAW ENFORCEMENT AUTHORITIES β ARMENIA β Yerevan, Yerevan*, Armenia
Coercion: YEREVAN β LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICER β Yerevan, Yerevan*, Armenia
Coercion: ARMENIA β Yerevan, Yerevan*, Armenia
Coercion: ARMENIA β ROBERT KOCHARYAN β Yerevan, Yerevan*, Armenia
Coercion: ARMENIA β OPPOSITION LEADER β Yerevan, Yerevan*, Armenia
Coercion: RUSSIA β YEREVAN β Yerevan, Yerevan*, Armenia
Coercion: ARMENIA β Yerevan, Yerevan*, Armenia
Coercion: ARMENIA β MOSCOW β Yerevan, Yerevan*, Armenia
Coercion: PRESIDENT β ROBERT KOCHARYAN β Yerevan, Yerevan*, Armenia
Coercion: ARMENIAN β ARMENIA β Armenia
Coercion: ARMENIAN β Armenia
Coercion: ARMENIAN β Yerevan, Yerevan*, Armenia
Coercion: ARMENIA β RUSSIA β Yerevan, Yerevan*, Armenia
Coercion: ROBERT KOCHARYAN β ARMENIA β Armenia
Coercion: BAKU β ARMENIA β Armenia