Rejection: GAZA β Unrwa, Gaza Strip (general), Gaza Strip
No next occurrence is being forecast right now β this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 3 days β every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β its rhythm β not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether itβs on time. Itβs probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Weβre still building its track record β no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to β or β over time.
The events behind it
Rejection: ISRAEL β Tomb Of The Patriarchs, West Bank (general), West Bank
Rejection: ISRAEL β HOSPITAL β Rafah, Gaza Strip (general), Gaza Strip
Rejection: ISRAEL β Rafah, Gaza Strip (general), Gaza Strip
Rejection: ADMINISTRATION β SCHOOL β Bethlehem, West Bank (general), West Bank
Rejection: EMPLOYEE β Unrwa, Gaza Strip (general), Gaza Strip
Rejection: GAZA β Unrwa, Gaza Strip (general), Gaza Strip
Rejection: GAZA β EMPLOYEE β Unrwa, Gaza Strip (general), Gaza Strip
Rejection: ISRAEL β PALESTINIAN β Maale Mikhmas, West Bank (general), West Bank
Rejection: ISRAEL β PALESTINIAN β Maale Mikhmas, West Bank (general), West Bank
Rejection: UNITED STATES β PARIS β West Bank
Rejection: ISRAEL β PARIS β West Bank
Rejection: GAZA β Unrwa, Gaza Strip (general), Gaza Strip
Rejection: ADMINISTRATION β IRAN β West Bank
Rejection: ISRAEL β IRAN β West Bank
Rejection: EMPLOYEE β Unrwa, Gaza Strip (general), Gaza Strip
Rejection: GAZA β EMPLOYEE β Unrwa, Gaza Strip (general), Gaza Strip
Rejection: ISRAEL β West Bank
Rejection: TERRORIST ORGANIZATION β Gaza Strip
Rejection: TERRORIST β Gaza Strip
Rejection: WEST BANK β West Bank