Coercion: KAMPALA – UGANDA — Kampala, Kampala, Uganda
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Coercion: KAMPALA – UGANDA — Kampala, Kampala, Uganda
Coercion: KAMPALA – MAYOR — Buganda, Masindi, Uganda
Coercion: OPPOSITION LEADER – UGANDA — Kampala, Kampala, Uganda
Coercion: OPPOSITION LEADER — Kampala, Kampala, Uganda
Coercion: POLICE – UGANDA — Kampala, Kampala, Uganda
Coercion: SECURITY PERSONNEL — Kampala, Kampala, Uganda
Coercion: SECURITY PERSONNEL — Naguru, Kampala, Uganda
Coercion: POLITICIAN – LAWYER — Kampala, Kampala, Uganda
Coercion: UNITED STATES – FOREIGN NATIONAL — Bundibugyo, Bundibugyo, Uganda
Coercion: MILITARY – PRESIDENT — Kampala, Kampala, Uganda
Coercion: MILITARY – UGANDA — Kampala, Kampala, Uganda
Coercion: AFRICA – UGANDA — Uganda
Coercion: LAWYER – AUTHORITIES — Kampala, Kampala, Uganda
Coercion: GAMBIA – UGANDA — Uganda
Coercion: MAURITIUS – UGANDA — Uganda
Coercion: ETHIOPIA – UGANDA — Uganda
Coercion: SEYCHELLES – UGANDA — Uganda
Coercion: ETHIOPIA – UGANDA — Uganda
Coercion: GAMBIA – UGANDA — Uganda
Coercion: SEYCHELLES – UGANDA — Uganda