Appeal: GAZA β ISRAEL β Gaza, Israel (general), Israel
No next occurrence is being forecast right now β this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days (67% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β its rhythm β not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether itβs on time. Itβs probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Weβre still building its track record β no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to β or β over time.
The events behind it
Appeal: ISRAEL β Gaza, Israel (general), Israel
Appeal: ISRAEL β INTELLIGENCE β Jerusalem, Israel (general), Israel
Appeal: ISRAEL β Gaza, Israel (general), Israel
Appeal: IRAN β LEBANON β Jerusalem, Israel (general), Israel
Appeal: UNITED STATES β IRAN β Israel
Appeal: ISRAEL β IRAN β Israel
Appeal: POLITICIAN β ISRAEL β Gaza, Israel (general), Israel
Appeal: JOURNALIST β Gaza, Israel (general), Israel
Appeal: UNITED STATES β IRAN β Israel
Appeal: ISRAEL β Tel Aviv, Tel Aviv, Israel
Appeal: PAKISTAN β ISRAEL β Israel
Appeal: JUDGE β Gaza, Israel (general), Israel
Appeal: ISRAEL β Gaza, Israel (general), Israel
Appeal: UNITED STATES β THE WHITE HOUSE β Gaza, Israel (general), Israel
Appeal: ISRAEL β JUDGE β Gaza, Israel (general), Israel
Appeal: ISRAEL β Gaza, Israel (general), Israel
Appeal: THE WHITE HOUSE β Gaza, Israel (general), Israel
Appeal: ARGENTINIAN β Israel
Appeal: IRAN β ISRAEL β Israel
Appeal: ISRAEL β PALESTINE β Gaza, Israel (general), Israel