Public statement: FRANCE — Taiwan
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 5 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
Patterns that recur together
On the days this pattern occurs, these patterns occur more often than their usual rate (lift > 1). Statistical co-occurrence — an observation, not causation.
- Diplomatic cooperation: NEW ZEALAND – FIRE BRIGADE — New Zealand
- Appeal: PARTY LEADER – VOTER — China
- Coercion: DEMONSTRATOR – MIGRANT — Durban, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa
- Diplomatic cooperation: SOUTH KOREA – MEDIA — South Korea
- Diplomatic cooperation: PRESIDENT – ITALY — Italy
- Public statement: MALAYSIA — Malaysia
- Public statement: CHINA — Zhao Wei, Yunnan, China
- Appeal: KENYA — Kenya
The events behind it
Public statement: FRANCE — Taiwan
Public statement: REPRESENTATIVES — Yunlin, Yunlin Xian, Taiwan
Public statement: UNIVERSITY — Taiwan
Public statement: TAIWAN — Taiwan
Public statement: SABAH — Taiwan
Public statement: CHINA — Taiwan
Public statement: TAIWAN — Taipei, T'ai-pei, Taiwan
Public statement: TAIWAN – CHINA — Taipei, T'ai-pei, Taiwan
Public statement: TAIPEI – CHINA — Taipei, T'ai-pei, Taiwan
Public statement: TAIPEI – CHINA — Taipei, T'ai-pei, Taiwan
Public statement: CHINA – TAIWAN — Taitung County, Taidong Xian, Taiwan
Public statement: BEIJING – TAIWAN — Taiwan
Public statement: TAIWAN – CHINA — Taiwan Strait, Taiwan (general), Taiwan
Public statement: REPRESENTATIVES — Yunlin, Yunlin Xian, Taiwan
Public statement: UNIVERSITY – TAIPEI — Taipei, T'ai-pei, Taiwan
Public statement: TAIWAN — Taipei, T'ai-pei, Taiwan
Public statement: PINGTUNG COUNTY — Pingtung County, Pingdong Xian, Taiwan
Public statement: PINGTUNG COUNTY – TAIWANESE — Pingtung County, Pingdong Xian, Taiwan
Public statement: DEPUTY — Taitung County, Taidong Xian, Taiwan
Public statement: DEPUTY – TAIWAN — Taitung County, Taidong Xian, Taiwan