Show of force: UNITED KINGDOM – FRANCE — English Channel, United Kingdom (general), United Kingdom
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 5 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Show of force: RHODE ISLAND – FRENCH — Newport, Newport, United Kingdom
Show of force: MILITARY – UNITED KINGDOM — Gloucestershire, Gloucestershire, United Kingdom
Show of force: CATHOLIC – TERRORIST — Belfast, Belfast, United Kingdom
Show of force: UNITED KINGDOM — Denbighshire, Denbighshire, United Kingdom
Show of force: MILITARY — London, London, City of, United Kingdom
Show of force: UNITED KINGDOM — Foryd, Conwy, United Kingdom
Show of force: UNITED KINGDOM — Caernarfon, Gwynedd, United Kingdom
Show of force: COMPANY – GOVERNMENT — United Kingdom
Show of force: CIVILIAN – SCOTLAND — United Kingdom
Show of force: UNITED KINGDOM – FRANCE — English Channel, United Kingdom (general), United Kingdom
Show of force: RUSSIA – EUROPEAN — United Kingdom
Show of force: UNITED KINGDOM – UKRAINE — United Kingdom
Show of force: UNITED KINGDOM – WEST BANK — United Kingdom
Show of force: UNITED KINGDOM – FRENCH — English Channel, United Kingdom (general), United Kingdom
Show of force: UNITED KINGDOM – FRENCH — English Channel, United Kingdom (general), United Kingdom
Show of force: UNITED KINGDOM — Caernarfon, Gwynedd, United Kingdom
Show of force: GANG – COLLEGE — London, London, City of, United Kingdom
Show of force: UNITED KINGDOM – FRENCH — English Channel, United Kingdom (general), United Kingdom
Show of force: RUSSIA – EUROPEAN — United Kingdom
Show of force: MILITARY — Llanrug, Gwynedd, United Kingdom