Intent to cooperate: ROMANIA β CHINA β Moldova
No next occurrence is being forecast right now β this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 4 days β every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β its rhythm β not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether itβs on time. Itβs probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Weβre still building its track record β no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to β or β over time.
The events behind it
Intent to cooperate: CHINA β BULGARIA β Moldova
Intent to cooperate: CHINA β BULGARIA β Moldova
Intent to cooperate: GREECE β CHINA β Moldova
Intent to cooperate: MOLDOVA β UKRAINE β Moldova
Intent to cooperate: MOLDOVA β UKRAINE β Moldova
Intent to cooperate: MOLDOVA β CHINA β Moldova
Intent to cooperate: ROMANIA β CHINA β Moldova
Intent to cooperate: UKRAINE β MOLDOVA β Moldova
Intent to cooperate: UKRAINE β MOLDOVA β Moldova
Intent to cooperate: CHINA β SERBIA β Moldova
Intent to cooperate: CHINA β SERBIA β Moldova
Intent to cooperate: CHINA β BULGARIA β Moldova
Intent to cooperate: SERBIA β CHINA β Moldova
Intent to cooperate: GREECE β CHINA β Moldova
Intent to cooperate: BULGARIA β CHINA β Moldova
Intent to cooperate: GREECE β CHINA β Moldova
Intent to cooperate: BULGARIA β CHINA β Moldova
Intent to cooperate: CHINA β GREECE β Moldova
Intent to cooperate: SERBIA β CHINA β Moldova
Intent to cooperate: BULGARIA β CHINA β Moldova