Public statement: MAYOR β Lima, Lima, Peru
No next occurrence is being forecast right now β this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 3 days β every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β its rhythm β not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether itβs on time. Itβs probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Weβre still building its track record β no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to β or β over time.
The events behind it
Public statement: GOVERNMENT β Lima, Lima, Peru
Public statement: JOURNALIST β ITALY β Peru
Public statement: AMBASSADOR β PERUVIAN β Peru
Public statement: AMBASSADOR β PERU β Peru
Public statement: PERU β COMPANY β Lima, Lima, Peru
Public statement: PERU β Lima, Lima, Peru
Public statement: PERU β Lahuaytambo, Lima, Peru
Public statement: AMBASSADOR β PERU β Peru
Public statement: PERU β Lima, Lima, Peru
Public statement: PERU β Lahuaytambo, Lima, Peru
Public statement: PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE β PERU β Lahuaytambo, Lima, Peru
Public statement: PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE β PERU β Alberto Fujimori, Region de La Libertad, Peru
Public statement: PERU β Alberto Fujimori, Region de La Libertad, Peru
Public statement: PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE β Alberto Fujimori, Region de La Libertad, Peru
Public statement: PERU β Lahuaytambo, Lima, Peru
Public statement: LIMA β Lima, Lima, Peru
Public statement: PERU β PRESIDENT β Lima, Lima, Peru
Public statement: LEILA DE LIMA β PRESIDENT β Lima, Lima, Peru
Public statement: JOURNALIST β ITALY β Peru
Public statement: THE POPE β ITALY β Peru