Intent to cooperate: EUROPEAN β Macedonia
No next occurrence is being forecast right now β this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 3 days β every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β its rhythm β not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether itβs on time. Itβs probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Weβre still building its track record β no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to β or β over time.
The events behind it
Intent to cooperate: MACEDONIA β Macedonia
Intent to cooperate: EUROPEAN β Macedonia
Intent to cooperate: EUROPEAN β PRIME MINISTER β Macedonia
Intent to cooperate: EUROPEAN β MACEDONIA β Macedonia
Intent to cooperate: MACEDONIAN β Skopje, Macedonia (general), Macedonia
Intent to cooperate: EUROPEAN β MACEDONIA β Macedonia
Intent to cooperate: PRIME MINISTER β EUROPEAN β Macedonia
Intent to cooperate: MACEDONIA β Macedonia
Intent to cooperate: EUROPEAN β Macedonia
Intent to cooperate: MACEDONIA β EUROPEAN β Macedonia
Intent to cooperate: MACEDONIA β Skopje, Macedonia (general), Macedonia
Intent to cooperate: MACEDONIA β EUROPEAN β Skopje, Macedonia (general), Macedonia
Intent to cooperate: TURKEY β Skopje, Macedonia (general), Macedonia
Intent to cooperate: TURKISH β MACEDONIA β Macedonia
Intent to cooperate: MACEDONIAN β Skopje, Macedonia (general), Macedonia
Intent to cooperate: TURKISH β MACEDONIA β Macedonia
Intent to cooperate: MACEDONIA β TURKEY β Skopje, Macedonia (general), Macedonia
Intent to cooperate: YEREVAN β Skopje, Macedonia (general), Macedonia
Intent to cooperate: TURKISH β MACEDONIA β Macedonia
Intent to cooperate: ANKARA β SKOPJE β Skopje, Macedonia (general), Macedonia