Aid provision: NATO β Konya, Konya, Turkey
No next occurrence is being forecast right now β this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 5 days β every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again β its rhythm β not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether itβs on time. Itβs probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
Weβre still building its track record β no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to β or β over time.
The events behind it
Aid provision: COMPANY β Izmit, Kocaeli, Turkey
Aid provision: COMPANY β HYUNDAI β Izmit, Kocaeli, Turkey
Aid provision: UKRAINE β RUSSIA β Turkey
Aid provision: SMYRNA β DELAWARE β Smyrna, Izmir, Turkey
Aid provision: NATO β Konya, Konya, Turkey
Aid provision: TURKISH β Konya, Konya, Turkey
Aid provision: TURKISH β Konya, Konya, Turkey
Aid provision: WORKER β Nuruosmaniye, Sakarya, Turkey
Aid provision: TURKISH β AZERBAIJAN β Kars, Kars, Turkey
Aid provision: TURKISH β AZERBAIJAN β Kars, Kars, Turkey
Aid provision: TURK β THE UN β Turkey
Aid provision: PRESIDENT β Istanbul, Istanbul, Turkey
Aid provision: PRESIDENT β TURKEY β Istanbul, Istanbul, Turkey
Aid provision: PAKISTAN β IRAN β Turkey
Aid provision: PAKISTAN β UNITED STATES β Turkey
Aid provision: TURKEY β Ankara, Ankara, Turkey
Aid provision: ACTOR β Turkey
Aid provision: ACTOR β TURKEY β Turkey
Aid provision: UNITED STATES β TURKEY β Smyrna, Izmir, Turkey
Aid provision: DELAWARE β SMYRNA β Smyrna, Izmir, Turkey