Coercion: NEW ZEALAND – GOVERNMENT — Otago, Otago, New Zealand
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Coercion: POLICE – NEW ZEALAND — Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand
Coercion: AUCKLAND – NEW ZEALAND — Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand
Coercion: DISTRICT COURT — Orewa, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Coercion: NEW ZEALAND — Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand
Coercion: NEW ZEALAND – CHINA — Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand
Coercion: AUCKLAND – CHINA — Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand
Coercion: AUCKLAND – DISTRICT COURT — Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand
Coercion: AUCKLAND – DETECTIVE — Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand
Coercion: AUCKLAND — Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand
Coercion: GOVERNMENT – NEW ZEALAND — Wellington, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Coercion: GOVERNMENT – WELLINGTON — Otago, Otago, New Zealand
Coercion: NEW ZEALAND — Fiordland, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Coercion: WELLINGTON – NEW ZEALAND — Wellington, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Coercion: WELLINGTON — Wellington, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Coercion: POLICE – HEALTH OFFICIAL — New Zealand
Coercion: POLICE — Kaikohe, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Coercion: POLICE — Kawakawa, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Coercion: POLICE – NEW ZEALAND — Northland, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Coercion: BUSINESS — Wellington, New Zealand (general), New Zealand
Coercion: POLICE — New Brighton, New Zealand (general), New Zealand