Concession: IRAN – UNITED STATES — New York, United States
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 7 days (64% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Concession: UNITED STATES — Springfield, Louisiana, United States
Concession: UNITED STATES — Sherman Oaks, California, United States
Concession: DEFENSE MINIST – LEBANON — South Carolina, United States
Concession: CITIZEN – SCHOOL — Louisiana, United States
Concession: GANG – SCHOOL — Louisiana, United States
Concession: UNITED STATES — Springfield, Louisiana, United States
Concession: MILITARY — Washington, District of Columbia, United States
Concession: UNITED KINGDOM – RESIDENTS — California, United States
Concession: DEFENCE MINIST – LEBANON — United States
Concession: UNITED STATES – PALESTINIAN — Chicago, Illinois, United States
Concession: UNITED STATES — Mississippi, United States
Concession: MILITARY — Washington, District of Columbia, United States
Concession: CONGRESS — White House, District of Columbia, United States
Concession: WORKER — New York, United States
Concession: GOVERNMENT — Miami, Florida, United States
Concession: UNITED KINGDOM – UNITED STATES — California, United States
Concession: UNITED STATES — Virginia, United States
Concession: UNITED STATES — Williamsburg, Virginia, United States
Concession: UNITED STATES – COMMUNITY — United States
Concession: UNITED STATES – UNIVERSITY — Virginia, United States