Flash Flood Warning issued June 16 at 7:11PM MST until June 16 at 10:15PM MST by NWS Tucson AZ
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days — every day we've been watching, usually around 22:51 UTC.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Flash Flood Warning issued June 16 at 7:11PM MST until June 16 at 10:15PM MST by NWS Tucson AZ
Flash Flood Warning issued June 16 at 4:30PM MST until June 16 at 6:15PM MST by NWS Flagstaff AZ
Flash Flood Warning issued June 16 at 5:57PM CDT until June 16 at 8:00PM CDT by NWS New Orleans LA
Flash Flood Warning issued June 16 at 5:56PM CDT until June 16 at 6:00PM CDT by NWS Lake Charles LA
Flash Flood Warning issued June 16 at 3:21PM MST until June 16 at 6:15PM MST by NWS Flagstaff AZ
Flash Flood Warning issued June 16 at 5:11PM CDT until June 16 at 5:15PM CDT by NWS New Orleans LA
Flash Flood Warning issued June 16 at 4:56PM CDT until June 16 at 8:00PM CDT by NWS New Orleans LA
Flash Flood Warning issued June 16 at 4:41PM CDT until June 16 at 4:45PM CDT by NWS New Orleans LA
Flash Flood Warning issued June 16 at 4:02PM CDT until June 16 at 5:15PM CDT by NWS New Orleans LA
Flash Flood Warning issued June 16 at 3:56PM CDT until June 16 at 7:00PM CDT by NWS New Orleans LA
Flash Flood Warning issued June 16 at 3:20PM CDT until June 16 at 5:30PM CDT by NWS Lake Charles LA
Flash Flood Warning issued June 16 at 3:19PM CDT until June 16 at 5:30PM CDT by NWS Lake Charles LA
Flash Flood Warning issued June 16 at 3:11PM CDT until June 16 at 5:15PM CDT by NWS Lake Charles LA
Flash Flood Warning issued June 16 at 2:48PM CDT until June 16 at 6:00PM CDT by NWS Lake Charles LA
Flash Flood Warning issued June 16 at 2:36PM CDT until June 16 at 4:45PM CDT by NWS New Orleans LA
Flash Flood Warning issued June 16 at 2:13PM CDT until June 16 at 5:15PM CDT by NWS New Orleans LA
Flash Flood Warning issued June 16 at 1:58PM CDT until June 16 at 6:00PM CDT by NWS Jackson MS
Flash Flood Warning issued June 16 at 1:36PM CDT until June 16 at 4:30PM CDT by NWS Corpus Christi TX
Flash Flood Warning issued June 16 at 1:07PM CDT until June 16 at 4:00PM CDT by NWS Lake Charles LA
Flash Flood Warning issued June 16 at 12:57PM CDT until June 16 at 4:00PM CDT by NWS Lake Charles LA