Appeal: GERMANY – COLOMBIA — Northern Ireland, Craigavon, United Kingdom
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 11 days (92% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Appeal: EUROPEAN COMMISSION – UNITED KINGDOM — London, London, City of, United Kingdom
Appeal: EUROPEAN COMMISSION — London, London, City of, United Kingdom
Appeal: GLASGOW – SCOTLAND — Glasgow, Glasgow City, United Kingdom
Appeal: UNITED KINGDOM – GANG — United Kingdom
Appeal: UNITED KINGDOM – INVESTOR — River Thames, United Kingdom (general), United Kingdom
Appeal: UNITED KINGDOM — East Riding, East Riding of Yorkshire, United Kingdom
Appeal: DEPUTIES – UNITED KINGDOM — United Kingdom
Appeal: DEPUTIES – UNITED KINGDOM — United Kingdom
Appeal: DEPUTIES — United Kingdom
Appeal: UNITED STATES – JUDGE — United Kingdom
Appeal: UNITED KINGDOM — Belfast, Belfast, United Kingdom
Appeal: BUSINESS — Gloucestershire, Gloucestershire, United Kingdom
Appeal: ADVOCATE – GOVERNMENT — London, London, City of, United Kingdom
Appeal: CANADA – UNITED KINGDOM — London, London, City of, United Kingdom
Appeal: PRESIDENT – UNITED KINGDOM — United Kingdom
Appeal: UNITED KINGDOM — United Kingdom
Appeal: UNITED KINGDOM — United Kingdom
Appeal: RIYADH – AIRLINE — London, London, City of, United Kingdom
Appeal: LEBANON — United Kingdom
Appeal: GOVERNMENT – JUDGE — United Kingdom