Appeal: ACTIVIST — Sudan
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 9 days (82% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Appeal: SUDANESE – CHAD — Sudan
Appeal: SUDANESE – CHAD — Sudan
Appeal: SUDAN — Sudan
Appeal: REFUGEE – GOVERNMENT — El-Fasher, Shamal Darfur, Sudan
Appeal: SUDANESE — Sudan
Appeal: PERTH – SUDAN — El-Fasher, Shamal Darfur, Sudan
Appeal: GOVERNANCE — Al Jazira, Al Jazirah, Sudan
Appeal: GOVERNMENT — Sudan
Appeal: SUDAN – ISRAEL — Sudan
Appeal: SALVA KIIR — Sudan
Appeal: ACTIVIST — Sudan
Appeal: SUDAN – FIRST LADY — Sudan
Appeal: FIRST LADY – ACTIVIST — Sudan
Appeal: SUDAN – ACTIVIST — Sudan
Appeal: SUDAN – GAZA — Sudan
Appeal: SUDAN — Sudan
Appeal: SUDAN – COMMUNITY — Sudan
Appeal: COMMUNITY — Sudan
Appeal: COMMUNITY – GOVERNMENT — Sudan
Appeal: COMMUNITY — Sudan