Armed clash: COMBATANT — Syria
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 7 days (78% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Armed clash: ISRAEL – LEBANON — Syria
Armed clash: VILLAGE – SYRIA — Al-Mayadeen, Dayr az Zawr, Syria
Armed clash: ISRAEL – LEBANON — Al-Mayadeen, Dayr az Zawr, Syria
Armed clash: VILLAGE – SYRIA — Al-Mayadeen, Dayr az Zawr, Syria
Armed clash: ISRAEL – LEBANON — Al-Mayadeen, Dayr az Zawr, Syria
Armed clash: ISRAEL – LEBANON — Al-Mayadeen, Dayr az Zawr, Syria
Armed clash: COMBATANT — Syria
Armed clash: CHRISTIAN – LEBANON — Syria
Armed clash: SYRIA – LEBANON — Damascus, Dimashq, Syria
Armed clash: EGYPT – SYRIA — Syria
Armed clash: EGYPTIAN – SYRIAN — Syria
Armed clash: ISRAEL – SYRIA — Syria
Armed clash: ISRAEL – SYRIAN — Syria
Armed clash: GOVERNMENT – SYRIA — Latakia, Al Ladhiqiyah, Syria
Armed clash: TURKEY — Damascus, Dimashq, Syria
Armed clash: SYRIA — Syria
Armed clash: DAVID CAMERON – SYRIA — Syria
Armed clash: SYRIA — Syria
Armed clash: ISRAEL – SYRIA — Syria
Armed clash: SYRIA — Deir Ezzor, Dayr az Zawr, Syria