Disapproval: UNITED STATES – IRAN — Iran
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days (60% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Disapproval: PRESIDENT – MEDIA — Iran
Disapproval: HAMAS – ISRAEL — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Disapproval: LEBANON – IRAN — Hezbollah, Kerman, Iran
Disapproval: IRAN — Hezbollah, Kerman, Iran
Disapproval: IRAN — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Disapproval: IRAN – ISLAMIC — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Disapproval: LEBANESE – IRAN — Hezbollah, Kerman, Iran
Disapproval: LEBANESE – IRAN — Hezbollah, Kerman, Iran
Disapproval: LEBANESE – IRAN — Hezbollah, Kerman, Iran
Disapproval: LEBANON – IRAN — Hezbollah, Kerman, Iran
Disapproval: EUROPEAN — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Disapproval: RIGHTS GROUP – IRAN — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Disapproval: IRAN – PAKISTAN — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Disapproval: IRAN – WASHINGTON — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Disapproval: UNITED STATES – IRAN — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Disapproval: TURKEY – SAUDI ARABIA — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Disapproval: IRAN – NEW YORK — Iran
Disapproval: IRAN – UNITED STATES — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Disapproval: ISRAEL — Tehran, Tehran, Iran
Disapproval: LAWMAKER — Tehran, Tehran, Iran