Aid provision: UNITED KINGDOM – WASHINGTON — London, London, City of, United Kingdom
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 10 days (91% of the days we've watched).
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Aid provision: ARMED FORCES — United Kingdom
Aid provision: ARMED FORCES — Whitehall, Orkney Islands, United Kingdom
Aid provision: UNITED KINGDOM – ARMED FORCES — United Kingdom
Aid provision: UNITED KINGDOM – ARMED FORCES — Whitehall, Orkney Islands, United Kingdom
Aid provision: COMMUNITY – LONDON — London, London, City of, United Kingdom
Aid provision: SRI LANKAN – REUTERS — United Kingdom
Aid provision: COMMUNITY – INDUSTRY — Edinburgh, Edinburgh, City of, United Kingdom
Aid provision: EMPLOYER — United Kingdom
Aid provision: GOVERNMENT – UNITED KINGDOM — London, London, City of, United Kingdom
Aid provision: GLASGOW — Glasgow, Glasgow City, United Kingdom
Aid provision: UNITED KINGDOM — St Helens, St. Helens, United Kingdom
Aid provision: COMPANY — Cambridge, Cambridgeshire, United Kingdom
Aid provision: UNITED KINGDOM — Edinburgh, Edinburgh, City of, United Kingdom
Aid provision: UNITED KINGDOM – COMPANY — Edinburgh, Edinburgh, City of, United Kingdom
Aid provision: UNITED KINGDOM – TEHRAN — London, London, City of, United Kingdom
Aid provision: UNITED KINGDOM – WASHINGTON — London, London, City of, United Kingdom
Aid provision: AUTHORITIES — United Kingdom
Aid provision: NON GOVERNMENTAL ORGANIZATION – REGIME — Belfast, Belfast, United Kingdom
Aid provision: NON GOVERNMENTAL ORGANIZATION – MEDIA — Belfast, Belfast, United Kingdom
Aid provision: JEWISH – ADVOCATE — London, London, City of, United Kingdom