Aid provision: UNITED STATES OF AMERICA — Kenya
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 6 days — every day we've been watching.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Aid provision: UNITED STATES OF AMERICA — Kenya
Aid provision: UNITED STATES OF AMERICA – GERMANY — Kenya
Aid provision: KENYA — Nairobi, Nairobi Area, Kenya
Aid provision: KENYA — Nairobi, Nairobi Area, Kenya
Aid provision: KENYA — Kakamega, Western, Kenya
Aid provision: REPATRIATE – KENYAN — Kabarak, Rift Valley, Kenya
Aid provision: BANK – KENYA — Nairobi, Nairobi Area, Kenya
Aid provision: BANK – KENYA — Nairobi, Nairobi Area, Kenya
Aid provision: KENYA — Nanyuki, Rift Valley, Kenya
Aid provision: GARRISON – SCHOOL — Nanyuki, Rift Valley, Kenya
Aid provision: KENYA — Kenya
Aid provision: KENYA – POLITICAL PARTIES — Kenya
Aid provision: POLITICAL PARTIES — Kenya
Aid provision: KENYA — Nairobi, Nairobi Area, Kenya
Aid provision: KENYA — Wajir, North-Eastern, Kenya
Aid provision: KENYA – CHINA — Wajir, North-Eastern, Kenya
Aid provision: KENYA – CHINA — Wajir, North-Eastern, Kenya
Aid provision: SENATOR — Kakamega, Western, Kenya
Aid provision: GOVERNMENT – KENYA — Kenya
Aid provision: KENYA — Kenya