Thunderstorm observed — Brownsville Intl
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 3 days — every day we've been watching, usually around 22:43 UTC.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Low visibility (IFR) observed — Kotzebue/Wien Mem
Low visibility (IFR) observed — Arcata Arpt
Thunderstorm observed — Brownsville Intl
Low visibility (IFR) observed — Anaktuvuk Pass Arpt
Low visibility (IFR) observed — Wrangell Arpt
Low visibility (IFR) observed — Mekoryuk Arpt
Low visibility (IFR) observed — St Marys Arpt
Low visibility (IFR) observed — Shemya/Eareckson Arpt
Low visibility (IFR) observed — Cold Bay Arpt
Low visibility (IFR) observed — Deadhorse Arpt
Thunderstorm observed — Lubbock Intl Arpt
Fog observed — Bettles Arpt
Low visibility (IFR) observed — Kivalina Arpt
Low visibility (IFR) observed — Kodiak Arpt
Low visibility (IFR) observed — Utqiaġvik
Low visibility (IFR) observed — Lake Charles Rgnl
Low visibility (IFR) observed — Hooper Bay Arpt
Low visibility (IFR) observed — Eagle Arpt
Low visibility (IFR) observed — Caribou Muni
Low visibility (IFR) observed — Jackson/Evers Intl