Small Craft Advisory issued June 16 at 3:28PM AKDT until June 17 at 5:00PM AKDT by NWS Anchorage AK
No next occurrence is being forecast right now — this pattern has gone quiet and needs to keep recurring before we forecast it again.
Why: it has occurred on 7 days — every day we've been watching, usually around 15:58 UTC.
Defaxon forecasts when a recurring event is likely to happen again — its rhythm — not the outcome. For a sports fixture that means we flag that the match recurs, not who wins; for a flight, that the route runs, not whether it’s on time. It’s probabilistic early-warning, never prophecy, and it sharpens as the archive grows.
How accurate have we been?
We’re still building its track record — no forecast has come due yet. Watch the dates below resolve to ✓ or ✗ over time.
The events behind it
Small Craft Advisory issued June 17 at 3:49AM AKDT until June 20 at 4:00AM AKDT by NWS Juneau AK
Small Craft Advisory issued June 17 at 3:18AM EDT until June 19 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS Boston/Norton MA
Small Craft Advisory issued June 17 at 3:18AM EDT until June 19 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS Boston/Norton MA
Small Craft Advisory issued June 17 at 3:18AM EDT until June 19 at 1:00AM EDT by NWS Boston/Norton MA
Small Craft Advisory issued June 17 at 3:18AM EDT until June 18 at 7:00PM EDT by NWS Boston/Norton MA
Small Craft Advisory issued June 17 at 3:18AM EDT until June 18 at 7:00PM EDT by NWS Boston/Norton MA
Small Craft Advisory issued June 17 at 3:18AM EDT until June 19 at 8:00PM EDT by NWS Boston/Norton MA
Small Craft Advisory issued June 17 at 3:18AM EDT until June 18 at 7:00PM EDT by NWS Boston/Norton MA
Small Craft Advisory issued June 17 at 2:22AM EDT until June 19 at 8:00AM EDT by NWS Newport/Morehead City NC
Small Craft Advisory issued June 17 at 2:22AM EDT until June 18 at 11:00PM EDT by NWS Newport/Morehead City NC
Small Craft Advisory issued June 17 at 2:22AM EDT until June 18 at 11:00PM EDT by NWS Newport/Morehead City NC
Small Craft Advisory issued June 17 at 4:10AM AKDT until June 18 at 5:00PM AKDT by NWS Anchorage AK
Small Craft Advisory issued June 17 at 2:22AM EDT until June 19 at 2:00PM EDT by NWS Newport/Morehead City NC
Small Craft Advisory issued June 17 at 3:05AM EDT until June 19 at 7:00AM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA
Small Craft Advisory issued June 17 at 3:05AM EDT until June 18 at 7:00PM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA
Small Craft Advisory issued June 17 at 3:05AM EDT until June 19 at 7:00AM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA
Small Craft Advisory issued June 17 at 3:05AM EDT until June 19 at 7:00AM EDT by NWS Wakefield VA
Small Craft Advisory issued June 17 at 3:16AM EDT until June 19 at 12:00AM EDT by NWS Mount Holly NJ
Small Craft Advisory issued June 17 at 3:16AM EDT until June 19 at 12:00AM EDT by NWS Mount Holly NJ
Small Craft Advisory issued June 17 at 2:44AM EDT until June 19 at 6:00AM EDT by NWS Upton NY